U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Forecast 2025–2030: Market Size, Innovations, and Demand Shift
MarkNtel Advisors, a leading market research and consulting firm, has announced the release of its latest study titled U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Research Report: Forecast (2025–2030). This report provides a detailed assessment of the U.S. Renewable Diesel Market, covering its evolving dynamics, emerging trends, key growth drivers, major challenges, and competitive landscape.
Designed to guide investors, stakeholders, and business leaders, the research aims to deliver valuable insights for strategic planning, risk assessment, and investment decision-making in the years ahead.
Market Timeline Overview
- Historical Years: 2020–23
- Base Year: 2024
- Forecast Years: 2025–30
This helps businesses identify emerging opportunities, assess market risks, and develop data-driven strategies for long-term success.
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U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Outlook
According to the report, US Renewable Diesel Market size was valued at around 99.42 MB (million barrels) in 2024 and is projected to reach 922.39 MB by 2030. Along with this, the market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of around 45% during the forecast period, i.e., 2025-30.
The report also examines consumer preferences, regulatory impacts, and investment trends that will shape the market’s trajectory over the next decade.
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U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Drivers:
Enhancement in Government Tax Breaks & Renewable Energy Investments – Government tax breaks and investments in renewable energy play a major role in driving the US Renewable Diesel Market. The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 has greatly impacted the extension of the USD1 per gallon blending tax credit for biodiesel and renewable diesel until the end of 2024. This policy encourages the production and mixing of renewable diesel to boost its competitiveness in comparison to traditional fossil fuels. Moreover, states such as California offer extra financial rewards for producers of low-carbon fuel through initiatives like the Low Carbon Fuel Standard, which boosts the acceptance of these fuels in the market. Federal aid goes beyond tax incentives by also including strategic investments in renewable infrastructure. For instance, the Department of Energy has dedicated substantial funds to enhance biofuel research and enhance production technologies. These efforts are crucial for decreasing reliance on foreign oil, meeting environmental targets, and improving energy stability. These policies have facilitated collaborations between manufacturers and fuel suppliers, promoting expansion and market reach while also supporting sustained development.
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U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Trends:
Development of Next-Gen Biofuel Technologies – There is a shift in the US Renewable Diesel Market towards the advancement of next-generation biofuel technologies. These developments aim to broaden the variety of raw materials used and improve manufacturing efficiency to lower expenses and minimize environmental consequences. New technologies like; Hydrothermal Liquefaction and Fischer-Tropsch synthesis can transform agricultural leftovers, municipal garbage, and algae into environmentally friendly diesel fuel, offering excellent carbon reduction capabilities. Major companies such as; Neste and Chevron are dedicating significant resources to research the integration of non-food-based feedstocks such as; camelina oil and waste fats, to tackle issues related to feedstock availability and food security. Moreover, more sophisticated catalytic methods are enhancing fuel output and standards while reducing energy consumption. The Inflation Reduction Act 2022 advances by giving low-carbon fuel incentives. This further encourages more R&D in this field.
U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Segmentation
The study categorizes the U.S. Renewable Diesel Market into various segments and sub-segments, each analyzed for its size, growth potential, and contribution to the overall industry.
By Application
- Passenger Vehicle- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Commercial Vehicle- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Aviation- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Marine- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Power Generation- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Others- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
By Feed Stock
- Soybean Oil- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Palm Oil- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Animal Fats - Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Vegetable Oils- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Used Cooking Oil- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
By Production Process
- Hydrotreated Vegetable Oil (HVO)- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Ethanol-to-Diesel (ETD)- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Gasification-to-Liquids (GTL)- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Microwave-assisted Processing - Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
By End User
- Transportation- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
- Industrial- Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030, USD Million
Geographical Analysis
The report presents detailed insights into the market’s geographical expansion, highlighting key trends and opportunities across the following geographies:
By Region
- North-East - Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030F, USD Million
- Mid-West - Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030F, USD Million
- West - Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030F, USD Million
- South - Market Size & Forecast 2020-2030F, USD Million
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Leading Companies in U.S. Renewable Diesel Market Worldwide: Players, Analysis & Future Outlook
- Shell Plc
- Chevron Corporation
- TotalEnergies
- BP
- Exxon Mobil Corporation
- Honeywell International Inc.
- Cargill, Incorporated
- Eni S.p.A neste
- Equinor
- Repsol S.A.
- Marathon Petroleum Corporation
- Phillips 66
- Valero Energy Corporation
- Neste Corporation
Key Highlights of the Report
- Comprehensive Market Overview: In-depth analysis of market size, share, and forecasts from 2025 to 2030.
- Growth Drivers & Challenges: Clear insights into factors feeling or restraining market expansion.
- Investment & Regulatory Insights: Evaluation of key policies, funding trends, and collaborations influencing industry performance.
- Competitive Landscape: Detailed profiles of leading companies, including product portfolios, business strategies, financials, and recent developments such as mergers & acquisitions.
Analytical Tools: Application of SWOT Analysis, PESTEL Analysis, and Porter’s Five Forces Model to assess competition and external influences
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
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2. What are the major factors driving this market’s growth?
3. Which regions are expected to lead the U.S. Renewable Diesel Market?
4. Who are the prominent players in the U.S. Renewable Diesel Market?
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About Us
MarkNtel Advisors is a global research and advisory firm with expertise across the energy industry, covering renewable energy, oil & gas, energy storage, and power generation. We deliver data-backed insights that assist energy producers, utilities, and investors in navigating regulatory transitions and emerging technologies. With Consulting Services, we help clients interpret market intelligence and design actionable strategies that accelerate decarbonization, enhance energy resilience, and ensure sustainable growth across global markets.
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